You Missed the Best Time to Buy—But the Next Opportunity Is Coming

General Danny Cardoso 3 Mar

Looking back, 2020 was an ideal time to buy a home. Prices were lower, and mortgage rates were around 3%. Those who entered the market then have seen significant gains, with home prices rising more than 30% since early 2020.

But if you didn’t buy, does that mean you’ve missed your chance? Not at all. Real estate always increases in value over the long term, but the key is recognizing opportunities when they appear.

And the next opportunity may be just around the corner.

The Market Has Moved—And a Shift Is Coming

Here’s how Canadian home prices have changed since 2020:
Prices increased dramatically from 2020 to 2022, followed by a dip in 2023. However, the market has already started recovering, and the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) forecasts home prices will rise another 3.3% by 2026.

Why 2025 Could Be a Unique Buying Opportunity

Many of the buyers who secured homes at historic low interest rates in 2020 and 2021 will soon be facing mortgage renewals at rates that are double or even triple what they originally paid.

This could result in:

  • More homes hitting the market – Some homeowners will no longer be able to carry their mortgages at the new rates and will need to sell.
  • Investment properties being offloaded – Many investors purchased rental properties when borrowing was cheap. If these properties no longer generate positive cash flow, some investors may look to sell.
  • Greater selection for buyers – More listings in the market could create opportunities for those who have been waiting to enter.

Barbara Corcoran (@barbaracorcoran) has seen these cycles play out before. Her advice remains clear:

“Don’t wait to buy real estate. Buy real estate and wait.”

Interest Rates Fluctuate—Real Estate Always Moves Up

Interest rates have been a key factor in buyer hesitation. But history shows that:

  • Rates are already lower than their peak. After reaching nearly 6% in late 2023, they have declined to around 4.5% today depending on the lender and mortgage type.
  • When rates drop, prices rise. As borrowing becomes more affordable, more buyers enter the market, increasing demand and pushing prices higher.
  • Long-term trends show real estate always appreciates. Even after temporary dips, home values recover and surpass previous highs.

“The perfect time to buy a house? When you can afford the down payment—not when you’re waiting for the ‘perfect’ market.” — Barbara Corcoran

Where Will the Best Buying Opportunities Be?

For those who missed the low rates of 2020-2021, 2025 could bring new opportunities, including:

  • Distressed Sales – Some homeowners renewing at much higher rates may list their homes out of necessity, creating potential buying opportunities.
  • Investment Properties for Sale – Properties that no longer generate strong cash flow may be offloaded by investors who purchased during the low-rate environment.
  • Suburban and Secondary Markets – With affordability stretched in major cities, smaller markets may see increased inventory and softer pricing.

Play the Long Game—Not the Waiting Game

Real estate is a long-term investment, and those who enter the market sooner rather than later tend to benefit the most.

  1. Equity Growth – The longer you own, the more your home appreciates and builds wealth.
  2. Market Stability – While short-term fluctuations happen, the long-term trend remains upward.
  3. Wealth Creation – Real estate remains one of the best tools for building financial security.

Many buyers in 2020 hesitated, thinking prices would fall. Instead, they increased dramatically. The next opportunity is coming—will you be ready for it?

📞 Call us at 416-882-4172
📩 Email mortgages@dannycardoso.ca  

Let’s discuss your options before the next wave of buyers enters the market.

Lower Rate with Higher Penalty OR Higher Rate with Lower Penalty?

General Danny Cardoso 18 Feb

When choosing a mortgage, many borrowers focus on getting the lowest interest rate. But what happens if life throws a curveball and you need to break your mortgage early? The penalty for breaking a mortgage can be significant—sometimes wiping out any savings you gained from a lower rate. That’s why it’s important to weigh your options carefully:

  • A lower rate with a higher penalty can save you money in interest but can be costly if you break your mortgage early.
  • A higher rate with a lower penalty gives you flexibility, making it easier and cheaper to exit your mortgage if needed.

So, which option is better? It depends on your future plans.

When Should You Consider a Mortgage with a Lower Penalty?

If your plans are uncertain or you anticipate a major life change, a mortgage with a lower penalty could be the better choice. Here are some common situations where flexibility matters more than the lowest rate:

  • Career Changes: If you expect a job transfer, promotion, or career shift that requires moving within a few years.
  • Growing Family: If you’re in a starter home but anticipate needing more space soon.
  • Potential Separation or Divorce: While not an easy topic, major life changes can make it necessary to refinance or sell your home.
  • Investment Properties: If you’re testing the waters with real estate investing but may sell or refinance in the near future.

In these cases, breaking your mortgage early with a high penalty could cost you thousands—sometimes more than you saved with a lower rate.

How Mortgage Penalties Work

Lenders count on borrowers to keep their mortgage for the full term. If you break your mortgage early, they charge a penalty to recover lost interest. The penalty amount depends on your mortgage type:


The IRD is where penalties can skyrocket. It’s calculated based on the difference between your original mortgage rate and the lender’s current rate for the remaining term. If rates have dropped significantly, this can result in a massive penalty. Not just a few thousand, I’ve seen penalties as high as $30,000 before.

For example:

  • You locked in at 5% for 5 years but break your mortgage in year 3.
  • The lender’s rate for a 2-year term is now 3%.
  • The lender will charge a penalty based on the difference in lost interest—potentially tens of thousands of dollars.

This is why choosing the right mortgage term and flexible lender is just as important as getting the lowest rate.

What’s the Right Choice for You?

If you have long-term stability, a lower rate with a higher penalty might be fine. But if you have any uncertainty in your future plans, it may be worth paying a slightly higher rate in exchange for a lower penalty.

Questions to Ask Before Choosing a Mortgage

  1. How long do I realistically plan to stay in this home?
  2. Could my job require me to relocate within the next few years?
  3. Do I anticipate major life changes (marriage, children, separation)?
  4. Am I comfortable with the risk of paying a high penalty if I need to break my mortgage?

A mortgage is a long-term commitment, but life isn’t always predictable. By choosing the right mortgage structure, you can avoid costly surprises down the road.

Need Help Finding the Right Mortgage?

Not sure which option makes the most sense for you? Let’s talk. I can help you evaluate your options and choose a mortgage that fits both your short-term and long-term plans.

📞 Call us at 416-882-4172
📧 Email mortgages@dannycardoso.ca

Let’s find the right mortgage for you—one that works for your life today and tomorrow.

Are Mortgage Rates Going to Drop in 2025? How U.S. Tariffs Could Impact You

General Danny Cardoso 5 Feb

Is the Economy Going to Crash? What Canadian Homebuyers Need to Know

With new U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods already in place—and Canada retaliating with its own tariffs—many Canadians are asking:

  • “Are mortgage rates going to go down in 2025?”
  • “Is the economy going to crash?”
  • “How will these tariffs impact home prices and affordability?”

These are valid concerns, especially for homebuyers, homeowners renewing their mortgages, and those considering refinancing. While we can’t predict the future with certainty, the Bank of Canada (BoC) is widely expected to cut interest rates in 2025 to help offset economic uncertainty. However, rising inflation and shifting trade policies could complicate how quickly and how much rates actually drop.

Here’s what you need to know about how these tariffs could affect Canada’s economy, mortgage rates, and home affordability in the coming months.

Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025?

The Bank of Canada has been signaling rate cuts for months, but how low they go—and how quickly—depends on several factors:

  • Tariffs are slowing economic growth – The new U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods, and Canada’s retaliatory tariffs on U.S. imports, are putting pressure on businesses and increasing costs for consumers. If economic growth slows significantly, the BoC may lower rates to keep borrowing and spending active.
  • Inflation is still a concern – Higher tariffs often lead to higher prices for goods, which could drive up inflation. The BoC has to balance rate cuts with the risk of rising inflation, which could slow the pace of cuts.
  • Global uncertainty adds risk – The U.S. election, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and financial market fluctuations all add unpredictability. If the economy worsens, rate cuts may come sooner and deeper than expected.

What Does This Mean for You?

Rates are expected to decrease, but we’re in uncertain times. If you’re thinking about buying a home, refinancing, or renewing your mortgage, the best approach is to lock in now with flexibility to adjust later.

Should You Lock in a Mortgage Rate Now or Wait?

Many homebuyers and homeowners are wondering whether they should lock in a mortgage rate now or wait for rates to drop further in 2025. The good news? Most lenders allow you to lower your rate if rates drop before closing.

Here’s why locking in now is a smart move:

  • Locking in protects you from unexpected rate hikes – While rates are projected to drop, inflation or unexpected economic shocks could slow cuts or even cause rates to rise. Locking in now ensures you’re covered.
  • Many lenders allow a rate drop before closing – If rates go lower before your mortgage is finalized, most lenders will adjust your rate accordingly. This gives you peace of mind knowing you’re getting the best possible deal.
  • Economic uncertainty makes waiting risky – Tariffs, inflation, and global trade tensions all create uncertainty. Locking in now ensures you don’t miss out on today’s competitive rates while still giving you room to adjust.

Fixed vs. Variable: Which Mortgage Should You Choose?

If you’re debating between a fixed or variable mortgage, here’s what to consider:

Mortgage Type Best For Considerations
Fixed-Rate Mortgage Homeowners who want predictability Offers stability, but you might miss out on savings if rates drop significantly.
Variable-Rate Mortgage Borrowers who are comfortable with fluctuating payments Can save you money if rates decrease, but payments could rise if inflation pressures slow rate cuts.

If you’re unsure which option is best for you, let’s discuss your financial goals and find the right strategy.

Is the Economy Going to Crash? What This Means for Canadian Homebuyers

While Canada’s economy is facing major uncertainty, most experts do not expect a full-blown crash. Instead, we’re likely to see:

  • Slower economic growth due to rising costs from tariffs and inflationary pressures.
  • Lower interest rates as the BoC tries to stimulate economic activity.
  • A cooling housing market in some regions, as affordability challenges affect demand.

The best thing you can do right now is stay informed and make proactive mortgage decisions that protect your financial future.

Let’s Talk About Your Mortgage Options

Navigating the mortgage market in uncertain times can be confusing, but you don’t have to do it alone. Whether you’re looking to buy a home, renew your mortgage, or refinance for a better rate, I can help.

📞 Call me at 416-882-4172 or email mortgages@dannycardoso.ca, and let’s create a mortgage strategy that fits your needs.

Capital Gains Tax Rules: Are They Changing?

General Danny Cardoso 16 Jan

With all the uncertainty surrounding Canada’s proposed capital gains tax changes, many property owners are asking, “Do I have to pay capital gains if I sell my house?” or “Should I sell my investment property before the tax rules change?”

In June 2024, the federal government proposed increasing the capital gains inclusion rate—the portion of capital gains that is taxable. This change could significantly impact investors and property owners selling secondary residences, rental properties, or cottages.

But here’s the challenge: the rules haven’t been finalized yet. As Jamie Golombek explains in a recent Financial Post article, Uncertainty remains as to what the final capital gains tax rules will look like, or even if they will be implemented at all.

Despite this uncertainty, the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) has announced it will proceed with collecting taxes based on the proposed higher inclusion rate until a final decision is made. This means that even if you sell now, you could still face a larger tax bill. If the rules are later changed or rejected, the CRA may adjust tax filings—but in the meantime, selling could cost you more than you expect.

The good news? Selling isn’t your only option. If you need access to cash or want to better manage your finances, refinancing or exploring alternative lending solutions could provide the flexibility you need—without triggering a large tax bill.

Ways to Access Cash Without Immediately Selling

If you need funds but aren’t sure whether selling is the best choice, here are some flexible ways to access cash while holding onto your property:

1. Refinancing Your Mortgage

  • Access tax-free cash by using your home equity.
  • Adjust your mortgage terms to fit your financial needs.
  • Keep your property and continue building long-term wealth.

2. Alternative and Private Lenders

  • Flexible lending options with easier qualification.
  • Quick access to funds without selling your property.
  • Short-term solutions to manage cash flow.

3. Reverse Mortgage (For Canadians 55+)

  • Access tax-free equity with no monthly payments.
  • Stay in your home while improving cash flow.
  • Ideal for retirees on fixed incomes.

4. No-Payment Loan Options

  • Interest-only or deferred payment loans.
  • Manage expenses without immediate financial pressure.
  • A flexible option to bridge financial gaps.

Comparing Your Options: Sell or Keep Your Property?

It’s important to weigh the pros and cons before making a decision. Here’s a simple comparison of selling versus other financing strategies:

Let’s Build a Strategy That Fits Your Goals

Whether refinancing, working with private lenders, or considering a reverse mortgage, understanding every option is essential. I work closely with your accountant to create a strategy that helps you minimize taxes and achieve both your short- and long-term financial goals.

I offer a clear, side-by-side comparison of all your financing options so you can make the best decision for your financial future.

📞 Call me at 416-882-4172
📧 Email me at mortgages@dannycardoso.ca

Know someone else who’s unsure about what to do? Share this post—many Canadians don’t realize they have options beyond selling.

Let’s talk about what works best for you.

Empower Clients: The 2025 Mortgage Outlook for Canadian Brokers

General Danny Cardoso 6 Jan

As a mortgage broker, your role in empowering clients with the right information has never been more crucial. As we step into 2025, the dynamic mortgage landscape offers unique opportunities and challenges. This blog is designed to help you educate and guide your clients, ensuring they make informed financial decisions while maximizing their homeownership potential.

2025: A New Year, A Fresh Start in Mortgage Planning

With the start of a new year, your clients are setting goals for financial security, whether they’re first-time buyers, homeowners considering refinancing, or investors expanding their portfolios. Here are key trends and strategies to focus on:

  1. Adapting to Market Trends

    • Rising Interest Rates: With fluctuating interest rates still in play, educating clients about fixed versus variable rates can empower them to make decisions tailored to their financial goals.
    • Shift in Housing Demand: Urban areas continue to see growth, while suburban markets remain attractive for families seeking affordability and space.
  2. Mortgage Renewal Strategies

    • Remind clients that renewing their mortgage isn’t just about locking in a rate. Encourage them to explore options like increasing their payment frequency or switching lenders to optimize their finances.
  3. Equity Utilization

    • Many homeowners are sitting on untapped equity. Educate your clients on how to leverage equity for renovations, investments, or consolidating debt without compromising long-term financial health.

Building Confidence Through Education

Clients rely on you for clear, actionable advice. Use these key areas to provide value:

  • Pre-Approval Process: Walk clients through the benefits of securing pre-approval to enhance their negotiating power in competitive markets.
  • Affordability Insights: Share tools and calculators to help clients determine what they can realistically afford.
  • Debt Management: Equip clients with strategies to reduce liabilities and improve their borrowing capacity.

Communication: The Heart of Client Success

Seamless communication builds trust. Use these tips to enhance your client relationships:

  • Leverage Automation: Tools like drip campaigns can keep clients informed with timely updates and helpful content.
  • Personalized Touchpoints: Tailor your outreach with specific advice, such as market updates or reminders about upcoming rate changes.
  • Family Involvement: Encourage clients to involve their families in key decisions, particularly when exploring multi-generational living or co-signed mortgages.

Collaborative Solutions: Partnering for Success

Mortgage brokers thrive when working collaboratively with other professionals. Foster partnerships that can enhance the services you offer to clients:

  • Real Estate Agents: Provide a unified front to help clients navigate both the buying process and mortgage options.
  • Financial Planners: Aligning with financial advisors ensures clients have a holistic view of their financial health.
  • Legal Experts: Simplify the legal complexities of homeownership by connecting clients with trusted legal professionals.

Looking Ahead: Your Role in 2025

This year, focus on being a trusted advisor for your clients. Whether it’s navigating market uncertainties or maximizing homeownership potential, your guidance can make all the difference.

Let’s make 2025 a year of growth, confidence, and smarter financial decisions for all.

Bank of Canada Cuts Rates by 50 Basis Points: What It Means for Your Mortgage

General Danny Cardoso 16 Dec

The Bank of Canada recently made headlines by cutting its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points, a move aimed at providing relief to borrowers and stimulating economic growth. This rate cut—the second in recent months—is a game-changer for homeowners and prospective buyers alike. As your trusted mortgage broker, we’re here to break down what this means for you and how it could impact your financial decisions.

Key Highlights of the Rate Cut

  1. Lower Borrowing Costs: The rate cut reduces borrowing costs for variable-rate mortgage holders and those seeking new financing. Adjustable-rate mortgage holders will see immediate savings, while prospective buyers can benefit from more affordable loans.
  2. Refinancing Opportunities: For homeowners with fixed-rate mortgages approaching renewal, this may be the perfect time to refinance and lock in a lower rate, potentially saving thousands.
  3. Boosted Buyer Activity: Lower rates could fuel increased activity in the housing market, creating opportunities for both buyers and sellers.

What This Means for You

For Current Mortgage Holders: If you hold a variable-rate mortgage, you’re likely to see a reduction in your monthly payments. This is a great time to explore options like consolidating debt, funding home improvements, or upgrading to a larger property.

For First-Time Buyers: Reduced rates make homeownership more attainable by increasing affordability and borrowing capacity.

For Real Estate Investors: Lower borrowing costs enhance profitability, making this an opportune moment to expand your portfolio or diversify your investments.

How I Can Help

Navigating market shifts can be complex, but I’m here to simplify the process and provide tailored solutions to meet your needs. Here’s what I can offer:

  1. Mortgage Reviews: I’ll analyze your current mortgage to identify savings opportunities and help you make informed decisions.
  2. Pre-Approvals: Secure a pre-approval to understand your budget before entering the housing market and lock in a rate for up to 120 days.
  3. Customized Advice: From first-time buyers to seasoned investors, I can provide guidance to ensure you maximize your benefits under the new rate conditions.

Why Stay Informed?

Understanding market trends is key to making smart financial decisions. This rate cut is an opportunity to reassess your mortgage strategy, whether you’re planning to buy, sell, or refinance. We encourage you to reach out for a no-obligation consultation to explore how these changes could benefit you.

Contact Us Today

Don’t let market changes pass you by. Whether you’re looking for advice on your current mortgage or exploring new opportunities, we’re here to help. Contact us to schedule a consultation and take the first step toward achieving your financial goals.

📞 (416)882-4172

📩mortgages@dannycardoso.ca

🌐 www.dannycardoso.ca

Understanding 30-Year Amortizations: What Mortgage Brokers and Clients Need to Know

General Danny Cardoso 2 Dec

When it comes to financing a home, amortization is a key term mortgage brokers often discuss with their clients. While shorter amortization periods are common in Canada, the concept of a 30-year amortization has gained traction among some buyers and brokers. This blog dives into what it is, its benefits, its drawbacks, and when it might make sense for you or your clients.

What is a 30-year Amortization?

In simple terms, amortization refers to the length of time it takes to pay off a mortgage in full, assuming consistent payments and no refinancing. A 30-year amortization means spreading out payments over 30 years, resulting in smaller monthly obligations. However, this also increases the total interest paid over the life of the loan compared to shorter amortizations like 25 or 20 years.

While this structure can be attractive to buyers looking for lower monthly payments, it’s important to weigh the trade-offs carefully.

The Pros of a 30-Year Amortization

  1. Lower Monthly Payments
    Spreading payments over 30 years reduces the financial strain of high monthly payments. This can be especially appealing for first-time buyers or those purchasing in high-priced markets.
  2. Improved Affordability
    Lower monthly payments might enable buyers to qualify for larger loans, opening up more options in competitive real estate markets.
  3. Flexibility in Cash Flow
    With smaller payments, borrowers may have more room in their budgets to save, invest, or handle other expenses.
  4. Short-Term Financial Security
    During uncertain times or economic downturns, the ability to reduce out-of-pocket costs can provide peace of mind for homeowners.

The Cons of a 30-Year Amortization

  1. Higher Total Interest Costs
    Extending a mortgage term means paying significantly more interest over time. This is a crucial factor for brokers to highlight to clients.
  2. Slower Equity Growth
    With lower monthly payments, the principal portion of each payment is smaller, which means it takes longer to build equity in the home.
  3. Potential for Financial Complacency
    While lower payments may ease the initial burden, it’s important to help clients avoid becoming too comfortable and neglecting long-term financial planning.

When Does a 30-Year Amortization Make Sense?

A 30-year amortization isn’t for everyone, but there are scenarios where it can be a practical choice:

  • First-Time Buyers: Those entering the housing market for the first time may find this option helpful in managing affordability.
  • High-Cost Real Estate Markets: Buyers in cities like Vancouver or Toronto might rely on the longer term to make homeownership attainable.
  • Temporary Financial Flexibility: For buyers anticipating income growth in the future, starting with lower payments can provide breathing room.
  • Strategic Investors: Real estate investors may opt for longer amortizations to maximize cash flow on rental properties.

Tips for Mortgage Brokers

  1. Educate Your Clients
    Not all clients understand the implications of a longer amortization. Use simple examples to show how the total interest adds up over time.
  2. Promote Financial Literacy
    Encourage clients to consider prepayments or higher regular payments to reduce overall costs. Highlight tools like amortization calculators to explore scenarios.
  3. Stay Informed on Policy Changes
    Changes in regulations or lender policies may affect the availability of 30-year amortizations. Be sure to provide clients with the most up-to-date advice.
  4. Discuss Alternatives
    Explore other strategies that might achieve similar goals, such as adjustable-rate mortgages or combining longer terms with lump-sum payments.

How My Broker Pro Can Help

For brokers, explaining concepts like 30-year amortizations effectively is key to earning trust and building relationships. My Broker Pro provides tools and resources that make client communication seamless:

  • Customizable content templates for emails, blogs, and social media.
  • Automated campaigns to educate clients on mortgage options.
  • Interactive calculators to help clients visualize their financial plans.

Conclusion

A 30-year amortization offers flexibility but comes with trade-offs that require careful consideration. Mortgage brokers play a vital role in guiding clients through this decision by balancing affordability with long-term financial health.

Ready to help your clients make informed choices? Start the conversation about 30-year amortizations today!

U.S. Politics and Canada’s 2025 Interest Rate Forecast

General Danny Cardoso 21 Nov

The recent U.S. election brought about changes influencing Canadian mortgage rates. Here’s a detailed look at how these impacts might affect your mortgage choices in Toronto.

The Impact of U.S. Politics on Canadian Interest Rates

Political shifts in the U.S. often create ripples in Canada’s economy, impacting our dollar and mortgage rates. Recently, fixed rates in Canada have climbed, while variable rates are expected to decline as the Bank of Canada (BoC) is predicted to lower rates in December to support the economy.

Fixed Rates Are Increasing—Here’s Why

Fixed mortgage rates in Canada are influenced by bond market trends, which have responded to shifts in the U.S. economy. This has led to an increase in Canadian fixed mortgage rates, driven by investor demand for stability amidst U.S. policy changes.

“Fixed rates in Canada are closely tied to government bond yields, which are influenced by global market trends, especially U.S. economic conditions,” notes a recent Canadian Mortgage Trends article.

The Outlook for Variable Rates

On the other hand, variable rates are expected to trend downward. The BoC is scheduled to make its next interest rate announcement on December 11, 2024, where analysts predict a potential rate cut in response to economic differences between Canada and the U.S. This anticipated adjustment could make variable-rate mortgages a more attractive option for prospective buyers.

Stability Expected for 2025

After recent fluctuations, mortgage rates in Canada may stabilize in 2025, with the Prime rate projected to hold at 5.20% throughout the year. For clarity, here’s a schedule of the BoC’s 2025 announcements:

What Homeowners and Buyers in Toronto Should Expect

If you’re weighing fixed versus variable rates, it’s essential to consider these dynamics. Fixed rates may remain high due to external economic influences, while variable rates could offer a lower-cost option in the short term, pending the anticipated rate cut in December.

Staying Updated

For those considering a mortgage or renewal, the BoC’s December announcement is essential. According to an article from Financial Post, the BoC is expected to reduce rates by half a percentage point, which could provide relief for variable-rate mortgage holders in Toronto.

Contact Us
To discuss mortgage options suited to your needs, reach out to us at 416-882-4172 or mortgages@dannycardoso.ca

US Election: Why did it impact Canadian mortgage rates?

General Danny Cardoso 18 Nov

The U.S. election season often impacts the Canadian economy, especially interest rates. Here’s what you need to know about recent developments and predictions for Canadian mortgage rates.

How U.S. Politics Influence Canadian Rates

Political shifts in the U.S. can lead to economic ripples in Canada, affecting our exchange rate, investment flows, and interest rates. Recently, fixed mortgage rates in Canada have seen a slight uptick, reflecting investor uncertainty. On the other hand, variable rates are expected to dip further, as the Bank of Canada (BoC) predicts lower rates in December to support the economy.

Why Are Fixed Rates Up?

Fixed mortgage rates in Canada are largely influenced by bond yields, which have risen due to U.S. economic signals. When markets feel uncertain about the U.S. political landscape, it can lead to higher bond yields and, consequently, higher fixed rates here in Canada.

What About Variable Rates?

The BoC’s stance on variable rates could be different. Variable rates often mirror the BoC’s overnight rate, which some analysts predict could see a cut in December. This potential cut is in response to economic gaps between Canada and the U.S., aiming to increase borrowing and spending in Canada.

What Should Homeowners and Buyers Expect?

If you’re considering a new mortgage or renewing an existing one, it’s essential to understand these dynamics. Fixed rates may remain elevated due to U.S. influences, but variable rates might offer a lower-cost option in the short term, with potential BoC cuts on the horizon.

Stay Informed

Staying updated on these developments is crucial. The BoC’s next interest rate announcement is scheduled for December 11, 2024. According to a recent article, “The Bank of Canada is expected to implement a significant half-point rate cut, reducing the policy rate to 3.75% following three previous reductions, in response to inflation falling below its 2% target and a sluggish economy.”

The Wall Street Journal

Contact Us

If you’d like to explore the best mortgage option for you, reach out at 416-882-4172 or email mortgages@dannycardoso.ca 

Prime Rate and Your Mortgage: What’s the Deal with the Recent Drop?

General Danny Cardoso 4 Nov

The Canadian housing market is always changing, so it’s important to understand key financial terms – especially if you have a mortgage or want to buy a home. One of these key terms is the Prime Rate, which affects how much you pay on your mortgage each month. Let’s break down how the prime rate works and why it matters.

What is the Prime Rate?

The Prime Rate is the interest rate that banks in Canada charge their best customers (those with good credit). It’s like a benchmark that influences the interest rates on different loans, especially variable-rate mortgages and home equity lines of credit (HELOCs). The Prime Rate itself is heavily influenced by the Bank of Canada’s Overnight Rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend and borrow money from each other overnight. When the overnight rate changes, the Prime Rate usually follows.

How Does the Prime Rate Affect My Mortgage?

With variable-rate mortgages, there are two types:

  • True Variable Rate: In this scenario, your payment remains ‘static’, even as the Prime Rate fluctuates. However, the portion allocated to interest versus principal changes. When rates decline, a larger portion of your payment goes toward the principal, accelerating your mortgage payoff. Conversely, rising rates mean more of your payment covers interest, extending the amortization period.

  • Adjustable Rate Mortgage: Often mistaken for a variable rate, an adjustable-rate mortgage actually “adjusts” with every Prime Rate change, causing payment fluctuations. This can be challenging for budgeting during rising rate periods but offers cash flow savings as rates decline.

  • Fixed-Rate Mortgage: Determined by bond yields, the Prime Rate does not affect fixed-rate mortgage payments. Therefore, if you have a fixed-rate mortgage, the buzz around Prime Rate drops doesn’t impact you. Even with a pre-approval for a fixed rate, you wouldn’t see much change or savings as fixed rates are currently lower than variable/adjustable rates..

Why Should I Care About the Prime Rate?

  • Impact on Monthly Payments: Changes in the Prime Rate directly impact your monthly payments if you have a variable-rate mortgage. A significant increase in the Prime Rate can lead to ‘payment shock,’ where your payments rise substantially. Fortunately, that’s not expected to happen for a few years, as the Prime Rate is projected to keep dropping until it plateaus in 2026.
  • Financial Planning: The Prime Rate is a good indicator of how the economy is doing. Understanding how it changes can help you plan your finances better, especially when it comes to renewing your mortgage or borrowing money.


What Should I Do Next?

Prime Rate recently dropped, which could affect your finances. It’s a good idea to talk to a mortgage professional about your options. I can help you figure out:

  • If your current mortgage is still the best choice for you
  • If refinancing to a different mortgage would be a good idea
  • How future changes in the Prime Rate might affect your monthly payments and financial goals

Don’t try to figure out the complicated mortgage world on your own. Talking to a mortgage professional can help you make smart choices and get the most out of your mortgage.

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